Archive - The Orange Sponge

Luke Gromen's Big Prediction About the Fed Came True. Here's What's Next.

He made a specific prediction about the Fed in January 2019. The repo market cracked nine months later. Here's how the rest of the scorecard looks.

19 hrs ago • TheOrangeSponge

The Paradox of the Zoo: Why Safety and Freedom Can't Coexist in the Same Cage

Most of us live in the financial zoo without ever choosing it. Here's what the other option actually looks like.

Apr 14 • TheOrangeSponge

The Dollar's Last Guarantee: What Comes After the Petrodollar?

One Professor's Three Predictions — And Why the Monetary Consequences Matter More Than the War

Apr 11 • TheOrangeSponge

Fed Liquidity Watch // Issue #8 - Weekly H.4.1 Breakdown

Why Bank Reserves Just Jumped $119 Billion (And What It Means for April)

Apr 10 • TheOrangeSponge

The Feeling of Being Too Late Is Not Evidence of Being Too Late

What the Internet in 1997 Can Tell You About Bitcoin Today

Apr 8 • TheOrangeSponge

Why Changing Your Money Is Harder Than Changing Your Job

Fiat currency is invisible the way gravity is invisible. That's the whole problem.

Apr 5 • TheOrangeSponge

Fed Liquidity Watch // Issue #7 - Weekly H.4.1 Breakdown

This week's H.4.1 report showed expanding liquidity. The calendar says enjoy it while it lasts.

Apr 3 • TheOrangeSponge

March 2026

Financial Freedom in Five Chapters

The only financial map that actually leads out

Mar 29 • TheOrangeSponge

Fed Liquidity Watch // Issue #6 - Weekly H.4.1 Breakdown

The Treasury Spent. Your Bank Got the Money.

Mar 27

Darwin's Unfinished Argument

Why bitcoin might be the fittest money

Mar 25 • TheOrangeSponge

Technology Wants to Make You Richer. The Monetary System Disagrees.

There's a war between technology and the monetary system. Most people don't know it's happening. Fewer know which side they're on.

Mar 22 • TheOrangeSponge

Fed Liquidity Watch // Issue #5

Reserves fell $74B this week. The calendar explains most of it — but the year-over-year trend is worth watching.

Mar 20

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