The Orange Sponge

The Orange Sponge

Home
Notes
Bitcoin Fundamentals
Connecting the Dots
Human Psychology & Behavior
Philosophy of Value
The Monetary System
Archive
About

The Monetary System

Luke Gromen's Big Prediction About the Fed Came True. Here's What's Next.
He made a specific prediction about the Fed in January 2019. The repo market cracked nine months later. Here's how the rest of the scorecard looks.
14 hrs ago • TheOrangeSponge
Fed Liquidity Watch // Issue #8 - Weekly H.4.1 Breakdown
Why Bank Reserves Just Jumped $119 Billion (And What It Means for April)
Apr 10 • TheOrangeSponge
Fed Liquidity Watch // Issue #7 - Weekly H.4.1 Breakdown
This week's H.4.1 report showed expanding liquidity. The calendar says enjoy it while it lasts.
Apr 3 • TheOrangeSponge
Fed Liquidity Watch // Issue #6 - Weekly H.4.1 Breakdown
The Treasury Spent. Your Bank Got the Money.
Mar 27
Fed Liquidity Watch // Issue #5
Reserves fell $74B this week. The calendar explains most of it — but the year-over-year trend is worth watching.
Mar 20
Why Liquidity Flows to Bitcoin
Whether you believe it or not
Mar 17 • TheOrangeSponge
Fed Liquidity Watch // Issue #4
The Treasury Spent. Reserves Breathed.
Mar 13 • TheOrangeSponge
© 2026 Wayne · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture